USA ELECTS – a blog about US elections

VIRGINIA

VAPopulation: 8,382,993 (2015)

Filing deadline: March 31, 2016.

Primary: June 14, 2016.

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Virginia (D+0) has traditions in common with the rest of The South, but has become more moderate politically and is now considered a swing state. It is 67% White, 19% Black, 7% Hispanic and 6% Asian.

FEDERAL LEVEL

Electors: 13. Vir­ginia is a swing state in Presidential elections.

Sena­tors: 2 Democrats.

Tim Kaine. (Pic: Congress)

Tim Kaine. (Pic: Congress)

Senator class 1: Tim Kaine (D)
Committees: Armed Forces, Budget, Foreign Relations.

Democratic nominee: Tim Kaine
Republican nominee: ?

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Leans Dem in 2018.

Status, May 17, 2016:
Lawyer, Mayor of Richmond, LG, Governor and federal Party Chairman Tim Kaine (b.1958) was elected to the Senate in 2012, with 53%.

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Mark Warner. (Pic: Congress)

Mark Warner. (Pic: Congress)

Senator class 2: Mark Warner (D)
Committees: Banking, Budget, Finance, Rules, Intelligence.

Democratic nominee: Mark Warner
Republican nominee: ?

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Leans Dem in 2020.

Status, May 17, 2016:
Lawyer, businessman and Governor Mark Warner (b.1954) was first elected in 2008, but had a surprisingly close call in 2014, with only 49% and a razor thin margin.

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Representatives: 11 Representatives; 3 Democrats and 8 Republicans. Virginia has a peculiar nomination system in which the party decides, in every electoral unit, whether to conduct a primary or nominate through a convention. The Congressional districts were redrawn in 2015 by a Federal Court.

Rob Wittman. (Pic: Congress)

Rob Wittman. (Pic: Congress)

District 1
Representative: Rob Wittman (R)
Committees: Armed Forces, Natural Resources.

Democratic nomineeMatt Rowe
Republican nominee: Rob Wittman

Vur­de­ring 02.04.16:
Safe GOP 2016.

Status, June 19, 2016:
The district covers eastern parts of the state, including the northern coastline and Williamsburg and Jamestown. It was slightly changed in the last redrawing and is 71% White, 16% Black and 7% Hispanic. County Commissioner and State Representative Rob Wittman (b.1959) won a special election in 2007 and took 63% in 2014. He is running for Governor in 2017. The Dems are running Bowling Green Town Councilman Matt Rowe.

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Scott Rigell. (Pic: Congress)

Scott Rigell. (Pic: Congress)

District 2
Representative: Scott Rigell (R)
Committees: Appropriations.

Democratic nominee: Shaun Brown
Republican nomineeScott Taylor

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, June 19, 2016:
The district runs along the southern coastline and includes Virginia Beach and parts of Newport News and Norfolk, It has changed a bit in the last redraw and is 66% White and 20% Black. Auto dealer Scott Rigell (b.1960) won the seat in 2010 and took 59% in 2014, but is not running again. The GOP nominated State Representative and businessman Scott Taylor. The Dems are running activist Shaun Brown.

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Robert Scott. (Pic: Congress)

Robert Scott. (Pic: Congress)

District 3
Representative: Robert Scott (D)
Committees: Education (Ranking).

Democratic nominee: Robert Scott
Republican nomineeMarty Williams

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, June 19, 2016:
The district covers southeastern Virginia and contains Richmond, Petersburg and parts of Newport News and Norfolk. It has become more Republican and less Black in the redraw, but is still safely Democratic. Lawyer and State Senator Robert Scott (b.1947) was first elected in 1992 and had no opponents in 2014. The GOP is running Chesapeake Planning Commission Chair Marty Williams.

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Randy Forbes. (Pic: Congress)

Randy Forbes. (Pic: Congress)

District 4
Representative: Randy Forbes (R)
Committees: Armed Forces, Judiciary.

Democratic nomineeDonald McEachin
Republican nomineeMike Wade

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, June 19, 2016:
The district covers southeastern areas, but has been changed quite a bit in the redraw. The proportion of Black (and therefore Democratic) voters increased so significantly that it went from safe GOP to safe Dem. Lawyer and State Senator Randy Forbes (b.1952) won a special election in 2001 and took 60% in the old district in 2014. He ran for the GOP nomination in the 2nd district, but lost. The GOP nominee is County Sheriff Mike Wade. The Democratic nominee is State Senator and lawyer Donald McEachin.

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Robert Hurt. (Pic: Congress)

Robert Hurt. (Pic: Congress)

District 5
Representative: Robert Hurt (R)
Committees: Financial Services.

Democratic nomineeJane Dittmar
Republican nomineeTom Garrett

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2016.

Status, May 17, 2016:
The district covers central areas of the state, running form the North Carolina border in the south almost up to the West Virginia/Maryland border in the north. It is 75% White and 20% Black. Lawyer and State Senator Robert Hurt (b.1969) was first elected in 2010, when he defeated an incumbent Democrat. He took 61% in 2014, but is not running for re-election. The GOP nominated State Senator Tom Garrett, while the Dems nominated County Board Chair Jane Dittmar.

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Bob Goodlatte. (Pic: Congress)

Bob Goodlatte. (Pic: Congress)

District 6
Representative: Bob Goodlatte (R)
Committees: Judiciary (Chair), Agriculture.

Democratic nomineeKai Degner
Republican nominee: Bob Good­latte

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, June 19, 2016:
The district (R+12) runs along the northern parts of the West Virginia border and includes Roanoke. Det is 84% White and 10% Black. Lawyer Bob Goodlatte (b.1952) was first elected in 1992 and took 75% in 2014. The Dems nominated Kai Degner.

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Dave Brat. (Pic: Congress)

Dave Brat. (Pic: Congress)

District 7
Representative: Dave Brat (R)
Committees: Budget, Education, Small Business.

Democratic nomineeEileen Bedell
Republican nomineeDave Brat

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Sep 2, 2016:
The district lies in the central parts of the state and is 76% White and 14% Black. It was slightly changed in the redraw. Professor Dave Brat (b.1964) won a sensational victory in the GOP primary in 2014, when he defeated House Majority Leader Eric Cantor. He then took 61% in November. The Dems nominated lawyer Eileen Bedell.

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Don Beyer. (Pic: Congress)

Don Beyer. (Pic: Congress)

District 8
Representative: Don Beyer (D)
Committees: Natural Resources, Science.

Democratic nomineeDon Beyer
Republican nomineeCharles Hernick

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Sep 2, 2016:
The district (D+16) covers the central, northern Virginia including the heavily populated suburbs of Washington DC. It is 56% White, 13% Black, 17% Hispanic and 11% Asian. Businessman, ambassador and LG Don Beyer (b.1950) held the open seat for the Dems with 63% in 2014. The GOP nominated economist Charles Hernick.

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Morgan Griffith. (Pic: Congress)

Morgan Griffith. (Pic: Congress)

District 9
Representative: Morgan Griffith (R)
Committees: Energy and Commerce.

Democratic nomineeDerek Kitts
Republican nominee: Morgan Griffith

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 17, 2016:
The district (R+15) cover the southwestern corner of the state and is 91% White. Lawyer and State Representative Morgan Griffith (b.1958) defeated an incumbent Democrat in 2010, and took 72% in 2014. The Dems nominated veteran Derek Kitts.

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Barbara Comstock. (Pic: Congress)

Barbara Comstock. (Pic: Congress)

District 10
Representative: Barbara Comstock (R)
Committees: Science, Administration, Transportation.

Democratic nomineeLuAnn Bennett
Republican nomineeBarbara Comstock

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2016.

Status, May 17, 2016:
The district (R+2) covers north central areas along the Maryland/West Virginia border, including some DC suburbs. It is 69% White, 11% Hispanic and 12% Asian. Lawyer and State Representative Barbara Comstock (b.1959) held the seat for the GOP in 2014 with 56%. The Dems are running businesswoman LuAnn Bennett, former wife of ex-Congressman Jim Moran over in the 8th district.

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Gerry Connolly. (Pic: Congress)

Gerry Connolly. (Pic: Congress)

District 11
Representative: Gerry Connolly (D)
Committees: Foreign, Oversight.

Democratic nominee: Gerry Con­nolly
Republican nominee: NONE

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Sep 2, 2016:
The district (D+10) cover outer suburbs south and east of DC. It is 53% White, 12% Black, 16% Hispanic and 17% Asian. Gerry Connolly (b.1950) has had numerous jobs and offices within public administration in the state. He was first elected in 2008 and took 57% in 2014.

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STATE LEVEL

Terry McAuliffe. (Pic: State of VA)

Terry McAuliffe. (Pic: State of VA)

Governor: Terry McAuliffe (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: ?

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Leans Dem in 2017.

Status, May 17, 2016:
Lawyer, businessman and federal Party Chair Terry McAu­liffe (b.1957) won the office in 2013 with barely 48%. He is term limited in 2017. LG Ralph Northam has already declared his candidacy and is likely to get the Democratic nomination. The GOP has a more crowded field, including Federal Party Chair Ed Gillespie (who came very close to beating Senator Warner in 2014), Congressman Rob Wittman and County Commissioner Corey Stewart, who is the Virginia campaign chair of Donald Trump.

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Ralph Northam. (Pic: State of VA)

Ralph Northam. (Pic: State of VA)

Lieutenant Governor: Ralph Northam (D)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: ?

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Leans Dem in 2017.

Status, May 17, 2016:
The LG is nominated and elected separately in VA. Physician and State Senator Ralph Northam (b.1959) took 55% in 2013 and is aiming for Governor in 2017. The Dems are so far fielding lawyer Justin Fairfax. The GOP candidates so far are State Representative Glenn Davis and State Senators Bryce Reeves and Jill Vogel.

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Mark Herring. (Pic: State of VA)

Mark Herring. (Pic: State of VA)

Attorney General­: Mark Herring (D)

Democratic nomineeMark Herring
Republican nominee: ?

Rating, May 17, 2016:
Leans Dem in 2017.

Status, May 17, 2016:
This race was very close in 2013, with lawyer and State Senator Mark Herring (b.1961) defeating his GOP opponent by 0.04%. The GOP is thus far running State Representative Rob Bell, who lost the nomination in 2013, veteran Chuck Smith and lawyer John Adams.

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State Senate: 40 (19D / 21R). Term: 4 years. Elections in 2019.
State House: 100 (34D / 66R). Term: 2 years. Elections in 2017.

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