USA ELECTS – a blog about US elections

KENTUCKY

kentuckyPopulation: 4,425,092 (2015)

Filing deadline: January 26, 2016.

Primary: May 17, 2016.

MORE ELECTION NEWS ABOUT KENTUCKY

Kentucky (R+13) is a conservative state which is increasingly safe for the GOP in federal elections. However, Democrats are still highly competitive on the statewide and local levels. Kentucky is 88% White and 7% Black.

FEDERAL LEVEL

Electors: 8. Ken­tucky has voted for the president in every election since 1964, except for 2008 and 2012. It appears we can classify it as Safe Republican in Presidential elections lately.

Sena­tors: 2 Republicans.

Mitch McConnell. (Pic: Congress)

Mitch McConnell. (Pic: Congress)

Senator class 2: Mitch McCon­nell (R)
Committees: Agriculture, Appropriations, Rules.

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: Mitch McCon­nell

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 12, 2016:
Lawyer and County Commissoner Mitch McCon­nell (b.1942) has chaired the GOP Senate caucus since 2007. He was first elected to the Senate in 1984 and received 56% in 2014.

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Rand Paul. (Pic: Congress)

Rand Paul. (Pic: Congress)

Senator class 3: Rand Paul (R)
Committees: Foreign Relations, Health & Education, Homeland Security, Small Business.

Democratic nomineeJim Gray
Republican nominee: Rand Paul

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 18, 2016:
Ophthalmologist Rand Paul (b.1963) was first elected with a solid 56% in 2010. He is the son of former Congressman Ron Paul, the libertarian thorn in the GOP’s side. Rand is more moderate, not least in style and rethoric, but is still radical enough. His principled stand on surveillance and privacy has won him supporters but also pissed off a lot of fellow Republicans. In 2016, he ran for president, but suspended the campaign after Iowa. The Democrats nominated businessman and Lexington Mayor Jim Gray.

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House of Representatives: 6 Representatives; 1 Democrat and 5 Republicans.

Ed Whitfield. (Pic: Congress)

Ed Whitfield. (Pic: Congress)

District 1
Representative: Ed Whitfield (R)
Committees: Energy & Commerce.

Democratic nomineeSam Gaskins
Republican nominee: James Comer

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 18, 2016:
The district (R+18) covers the western/southwestern corner of Kentucky and is 90% White. Lawyer Ed Withfield (b.1943) was first elected in 1994, but is not running again in 2016. The Republicans nominated former Agriculture Commissioner James Comer. For the Democrats, construction worker and veteran Sam Gaskins is running.

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Brett Guthrie. (Pic: Congress)

Brett Guthrie. (Pic: Congress)

District 2
Representative: Brett Guthrie (R)
Committees: Education, Energy & Commerce.

Democratic nominee: NONE
Republican nominee: Brett Guthrie

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 12, 2016:
The district (R+16) covers the northern, central areas of the state, including suburbs of Louisville and Lexington. It is 90% White voters. Businessman and State Senator Brett Guthrie (b.1964) was first elected in 2008 and got 69% in 2014.

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John Yarmuth. (Pic: Congress)

John Yarmuth. (Pic: Congress)

District 3
Representative: John Yarmuth (D)
Committees: Budget, Energy & Commerce.

Democratic nominee: John Yarmuth
Republican nomineeHarold Bratcher

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, May 18, 2016:
The district (D+4) covers Louisville and suburbs. It is 74% White and 19% Black. Publisher John Yarmuth (b.1947) was first elected in 2006, when he beat the sitting Republican. He took 63% in 2014. The Republicans are running trucking company dispatcher Harold Bratcher.

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Thomas Massie. (Pic: Congress)

Thomas Massie. (Pic: Congress)

District 4
Representative: Thomas Massie (R)
Committees: Oversight, Science, Tranportation.

Democratic nomineeCalvin Sidle
Republican nominee: Thomas Massie

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 12, 2016:
The district (R+16) covers the northern areas of the state, in a thin stripe along the Ohio river. It is 93% White. Businessman and County Commissioner Thomas Massie (b.1971) has represented the district since winning a special election in 2012 and took 68% in 2014. The Democrats are running freight company account manager Calvin Sidle.

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Hal Rogers. (Pic: Congress)

Hal Rogers. (Pic: Congress)

District 5
Representative: Hal Rogers (R)
Committees
: Appropriations (Chairman).

Democratic nominee: NONE
Republican nominee: Hal Rogers

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 18, 2016:
The district (R+25) covers the eastern parts of Kentucky. It is 97% White. Lawyer and County Attorney Hal Rogers (b.1937) has represented the area since 1981 and got 78% in 2014.

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Andy Barr. (Pic: Congress)

Andy Barr. (Pic: Congress)

District 6
Representative: Andy Barr (R)
Committees: Financial Services.

Democratic nomineeNancy Jo Kemper
Republican nominee: Andy Barr

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, May 18, 2016:
The district (R+9) covers Lexington and the state capital Frankfort. It is 85% White. Lawyer Andy Barr (b.1973) wrestled the seat from a Democrat in 2012 and got 60% in 2014. The Democrats are running minister and activist Nancy Jo Kemper.

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STATE LEVEL

Matt Bevin. (Pic: State of KY)

Matt Bevin. (Pic: State of KY)

Governor: Matt Bevin (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nomineeMatt Bevin

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2019.

Status, May 12, 2012:
Businessmann Matt Bevin (b.1967), who lost the GOP primary to Senator Mitch McConnell in 2014, conquered the office for the GOP in 2015 with almost 53%.

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Jenean Hampton. (Pic: State of KY)

Jenean Hampton. (Pic: State of KY)

Lieutenant Go­vernor: Jenean Hampton (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: Jenean Hampton

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2019.

Status, May 12, 2016:
The lieutenant governor is chosen by the governor and the two run together for the nomination (and the election). Bevin picked Tea Party-activist and veteran Jenean Hampton (b.1958) as his lieutenant governor. Hampton is the first African American to win a state office in Kentucky.

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Alison Grimes. (Pic: State of KY)

Alison Grimes. (Pic: State of KY)

Secretary of State: Alison Lundergan Grimes (D)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: ?

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Lean GOP in 2019.

Status, May 12, 2016:
Lawyer Alison Lundergan Grimes (b.1978) barely scraped by in 2015, with 51%. She is ineligible for re-election but is rumored to be looking at running for governor.

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Allison Ball. (Pic: Facebook)

Allison Ball. (Pic: Facebook)

Treasurer: Allison Ball (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nomineeAllison Ball

Status, May 12, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2019.

Status, May 12, 2016:
Lawyer and former congressional aide Allison Ball (b.1981) won the office in 2015 with almost 61%.

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Mike Harmon. (Pic: Twitter)

Mike Harmon. (Pic: Twitter)

Auditor: Mike Harmon (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nomineeMike Harmon

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2019.

Status, May 12, 2016:
State Representative and businessman Mike Harmon (b.1966) won the office in 2015 with 52%.

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Andy Beshear. (Pic: State of KY)

Andy Beshear. (Pic: State of KY)

Attorney General: Andy Beshear (D)

Democratic nomineeAndy Beshear
Republican nominee:

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Lean Dem in 2019.

Status, May 12, 2016:
Lawyer Andy Beshear (b.1977), son of former governor Steve Beshear (D), held the office for the Democrats with just over 50% in 2015.

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Ryan Quarles. (Pic: State of KY)

Ryan Quarles. (Pic: State of KY)

Agriculture Commissioner: Ryan Quarles (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nomineeRyan Quarles

Rating, May 12, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2019.

Status, May 12, 2016:
Lawyer, farmer and State Representative Ryan Quarles (b.1983) held the office for the GOP in 2015 with 60%.

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State Senate: 38 (12D / 26R). Term: 4 years; half elected in 2016/18.
State House: 100 (53D / 47R). Term: 2 years. Elections in 2016.

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