USA ELECTS – a blog about US elections

FLORIDA

floridaPopulation: 20,271,272 (2015)

Filing deadline: June 24, 2016.

Primary: August 30, 2016.

MORE ELECTION NEWS ABOUT FLORIDA

Florida (R+2) is a swing state characterized by a large degree of immigration – both of Hispanics from the south and Whites from the north. It is 61% White, 14% Black and 21% Hispanic.

FEDERAL LEVEL

Electors: 29. Flo­rida is a swing state in Presidential elections.

Sena­tors: 1 Demo­crat, 1 Republican.

Bill Nelson. (Pic: Congress)

Bill Nelson. (Pic: Congress)

Senator class 1: Bill Nelson (D)
Committees: Commerce (Ranking), Armed Forces, Finance.

Democratic nominee: Bill Nelson
Republican nominee: ?

Rating May 23, 2016:
Likely Dem in 2018.

Status, May 23, 2016:
Lawyer, State Chief Financial Officer and Congressman Bill Nelson (b.1942) was first elected to the Senate in 2000. He took 55% in 2012.

News about this office.

Marco Rubio. (Pic: Congress)

Marco Rubio. (Pic: Congress)

Senator class 3: Marco Rubio (R)
Committees: Foreign Relations, Commerce, Small Business, Intelligence.

Democratic nomineePatrick Murphy
Republican nomineeMarco Rubio

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
Lawyer and State Representative Marco Rubio (b.1971) defeated then-Republican Governor Charlie Crist (who ran as an independent) and a Democratic Congressman in 2010, with 49%. He ran for President in 2016, but withdrew in March after losing the primary in his home state. He instead opted to run for re-election. The Dems are running Congressman Patrick Murphy.

News about this office.

Representatives: 27 Representatives; 10 Democrats, 17 Republicans. Note that the state’s Supreme Court redrew some of the Congressional districts late last year and that the PVI’s of the new districts are my own estimates.

Jeff Miller. (Pic: Congress)

Jeff Miller. (Pic: Congress)

District 1
Representative: Jeff Miller (R)
Committees: Veterans (Chair), Armed Forces, Intelligence.

Democratic nomineeSteven Specht
Republican nomineeMatt Gaetz

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+22) covers northern areas of the Panhandle. It is 78% White, 13% Black and 5% Hispanic. State Representative and businessman Jeff Miller (b.1959) was first elected in a special election in 2001. He took 70% in 2014, but is not seeking re-election. The GOP nominated lawyer and State Representative Matt Gaetz. The Dems are running veteran Steven Specht.

News about this office.

Gwen Graham. (Pic: Congress)

Gwen Graham. (Pic: Congress)

District 2
Representative: Gwen Graham (D)
Committees: Agriculture, Armed Forces.

Democratic nomineeWalt Dartland
Republican nomineeNeal Dunn

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+17) covers the eastern parts of the Panhandle and then runs south along the west coast. It is 80% White, 13% Black and 5% Hispanic. Lawyer Gwen Graham (b.1963), who is the daughter of former Governor and Senator Bob Graham, took the seat from a Republican incumbent in 2014, but the Courts redraw made the district much more conservative and she is not running again. The GOP nominated physician Neal Dunn. The Dems are running lawyer Walt Dartland.

News about this office.

Ted Yoho. (Pic: Congress)

Ted Yoho. (Pic: Congress)

District 3
Representative: Ted Yoho (R)
Committees: Agriculture, Foreign Affairs.

Democratic nomineeKen McGurn
Republican nominee: Ted Yoho

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+9) contains central, northern parts of the state and is 73% White, 16% Black and 7% Hispanic. It became slightly more Democratic in the redraw, but is still safely Republican. District veterinarian Ted Yoho (b.1955) defeated the incumbent Republican in the 2014 primary and took 65% in 2014. The Dems are running businessman Ken McGurn.

News about this office.

Ander Crenshaw. (Pic: Congress)

Ander Crenshaw. (Pic: Congress)

District 4
Representative: Ander Crenshaw (R)
Committees: Appropriations.

Democratic nomineeDave Bruderly
Republican nomineeJohn Rutherford

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+19) covers the northeastern parts and almost surrounds Jacksonville. It is 80% White, 9% Black and 6% Hispanic. Lawyer, banker and State Senator Ander Crenshaw (b.1944) was first elected in 2000 and took 78% in 2014. He is not running again. The GOP nominated former Duval County Sheriff John Rutherford. The Dems nominated environmental engineer Dave Bruderly.

News about this office.

Corrine Brown. (Pic: Congress)

Corrine Brown. (Pic: Congress)

District 5
Representative: Corrine Brown (D)
Committees: Veterans (Ranking), Transportation.

Democratic nomineeAl Lawson
Republican nomineeGlo Smith

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+12) contains most of Jacksonville and stretches along the Georgia border to Tallahassee. It is 46% White, 45% Black and 6% Hispanic. Teacher and State Representative Corrine Brown (b.1946) was first elected in 1992 and took 65% in 2014. The redraw meant that Brown lost about half of her voters and she lost the primary to Tallahassee-based businessman and former State Senator Al Lawson. The GOP is running 2014 nominee and former gubernatorial aide Glo Smith.

News about this office.

Ron DeSantis. (Pic: Congress)

Ron DeSantis. (Pic: Congress)

District 6
Representative: Ron DeSantis (R)
Committees: Foreign Affairs, Judiciary, Oversight.

Democratic nomineeBill McCullough
Republican nomineeRon DeSantis

Rating May 23, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+4) runs down the coastline south of Jacksonville and includes Dayton Beach. It is 80% White, 10% Black and 9% Hispanic. Lawyer and veteran Ron DeSantis (b.1978) was first elected in 2012 and took 63% in 2014. He was aiming for the Senate in 2016, but when Rubio decided to seek re-election, he dropped down to the House again. The Dems are running businessman Bill McCullough.

News about this office.

John Mica. (Pic: Congress)

John Mica. (Pic: Congress)

District 7
Representative: John Mica (R)
Committees: Oversight, Transportation.

Democratic nomineeStephanie Murphy
Republican nominee: John Mica

Rating May 23, 2016:
Likely GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+2) cover northeastern areas of Florida. It is 67% White, 11% Black and 19% Hispanic. Businessman and State Representative John Mica (b.1943) was first elected in 1992. He beat another GOP Congresswoman in the 2012 primary, following the redrawing and took 64% in 2014. The Dems are running professor and investment executive Stephanie Murphy.

News about this office.

Bill Posey. (Pic: Congress)

Bill Posey. (Pic: Congress)

District 8
Representative: Bill Posey (R)
Committees: Financial Services, Science.

Democratic nomineeCorry Westbrook
Republican nominee: Bill Posey

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+9) contains coastal areas east of Orlando, including Cape Kennedy. It is 80% White, 9% Black and 8% Hispanic. Businessman and State Senator Bill Posey (b.1947) was first elected in 2008 and took 66% in 2014. The Dems are running lobbyist Corry Westbrook.

News about this office.

Alan Grayson. (Pic: Congress)

Alan Grayson. (Pic: Congress)

District 9
Representative: Alan Grayson (D)
Committees: Foreign Affairs, Science.

Democratic nomineeDarren Soto
Republican nomineeWayne Liebnitzky

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+4) lies south of Orlando. It is 53% White, 13% Black and 53% Hispanic. Controversial lawyer and businessman Alan Grayson (b.1958) won the seat in 2008, but lost it in 2010. He made a comeback 2012 and took 54% in 2014, is now running for Senate. The seat was made slightly more conservative, but should stay safely Democratic. They nominated lawyer and State Senator Darren Soto. The GOP is running engineer Wayne Liebnitzky.

News about this office.

Dan Webster. (Pic: Congress)

Dan Webster. (Pic: Congress)

District 10
Representative: Dan Webster (R)
Committees: Transportation.

Democratic nomineeVal Demings
Republican nomineeThuy Lowe

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+9) contains Orlando and was drastically changed in the redraw. It is 44% White, 27% Black and 23% Hispanic. The district should now be safely Democratic and businessman and State Senator Dan Webster, who was first elected in 2010, is rather running in the open and much more conservative 11th district. The Dems are running former Orlando Chief of Police Val Demings. The GOP is running businessman Thuy Lowe.

News about this office.

Rich Nugent. (Pic: Congress)

Rich Nugent. (Pic: Congress)

District 11
Representative: Rich Nugent (R)
Committees: Administration, Armed Forces.

Democratic nomineeDave Koller
Republican nomineeDan Webster

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+12) covers areas west of Orlando, all the way out to the coast. It is 84% White, 7% Black and 7% Hispanic. County Sheriff Rich Nugent (b.1951) was first elected in 2010 and took 67% in 2014, but is not running for re-election in 2016. The GOP is running Congressman Dan Webster, whose 10. district seat was drawn way more Democratic. The Dems are running businessman and 2014 nominee Dave Koller.

News about this office.

Gus Bilirakis. (Pic: Congress)

Gus Bilirakis. (Pic: Congress)

District 12
Representative: Gus Bilirakis (R)
Committees: Veterans, Energy & Commerce.

Democratic nomineeRobert Tager
Republican nominee: Gus Bil­irakis

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+6) contains areas north of Tampa. It is 85% White, 4% Black and 5% Hispanic. Lawyer and State Representative Gus Bilirakis (b.1963) was first elected in 2006, taking over the seat from his father. He had no opponents in 2014. The Dems are running lawyer Robert Tager.

News about this office.

David Jolly. (Pic: Congress)

David Jolly. (Pic: Congress)

District 13
Representative: David Jolly (R)
Committees: Appropriations.

Democratic nomineeCharlie Crist
Republican nomineeDavid Jolly

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+3) now contains all of Petersburg and has become a bit more Democratic than before. It is 78% White, 11% Black and 7% Hispanic. Lobbyist and former Congressional aide David Jolly (b.1972) won a special election in February 2014. He was running for the Senate, but when Rubio sought re-election he dropped down to the House. The Dems nominated lawyer and party switcher, former Governor Charlie Crist.

News about this office.

Kathy Castor. (Pic: Congress)

Kathy Castor. (Pic: Congress)

District 14
Representative: Kathy Castor (D)
Committees: Budget, Energy & Commerce.

Democratic nominee: Kathy Castor
Republican nomineeChristine Quinn

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+6) contains all of Tampa. It is 52% White, 19% Black and 26% Hispanic. Lawyer Kathy Castor (b.1966) was first elected in 2006 and had no opponents in 2014. The GOP is running food manufacturer Christine Quinn.

News about this office.

Dennis Ross. (Pic: Congress)

Dennis Ross. (Pic: Congress)

District 15
Representative: Dennis Ross (R)
Committees: Financial Services.

Democratic nominee: Jim Lange
Republican nominee: Dennis Ross

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+5) covers areas east and north of Tampa and is 67% White, 14% Black and 16% Hispanic . Lawyer and State Representative Dennis Ross (b.1959) was first elected in 2010 and took 60% in 2014. The Dems are fielding business consultant Jim Lange.

News about this office.

Vern Buchanan. (Pic: Congress)

Vern Buchanan. (Pic: Congress)

District 16
Representative: Vern Buchanan (R)
Committees: Ways and Means, Budget.

Democratic nomineeJan Schneider
Republican nominee: Vern Buchanan

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+6) covers areas south of Tampa. It is 78% White, 7% Black and 12% Hispanic. Businessman Vern Buchanan (b.1951) was first elected in 2006 and took 62% in 2014. The Dems are running lawyer Jan Schneider.

News about this office.

Tom Rooney. (Pic: Congress)

Tom Rooney. (Pic: Congress)

District 17
Representative: Tom Rooney (R)
Committees: Appropriations, Intelligence.

Democratic nomineeApril Freeman
Republican nominee: Tom Rooney

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+10) is quite large and contains central areas of the state south and east of Tampa. It is 80% White, 7% Black and 12% Hispanic. Lawyer and veteran Tom Rooney (b.1970) was first elected in 2008 and took 63% in 2014. The Dems are running PR executive April Freeman.

News about this office.

Patrick Murphy. (Pic: Congress)

Patrick Murphy. (Pic: Congress)

District 18
Representative: Patrick Murphy (D)
Committees: Financial Services, Intelligence.

Democratic nomineeRandy Perkins
Republican nomineeBrian Mast

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+4) covers parts of the eastern coastal areas and is 74% White, 11% Black and 12% Hispanic. Accountant Patrick Murphy (b.1983) was a Republican up until 2012, when he defeated controversial GOP Congressman Allen West. He won 60% in 2014 but is aiming for the Senate this year. The GOP now has a good opportunity to take back this swing seat and nominated veteran Brian Mast, who lost both legs in Afghanistan. The Dems are running businessman Randy Perkins.

News about this office.

Curt Clawson. (Pic: Congress)

Curt Clawson. (Pic: Congress)

District 19
Representative: Curt Clawson (R)
Committees: Foreign Affairs, Homeland Security.

Democratic nomineeRobert Neeld
Republican nomineeFrancis Rooney

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+13) covers southwestern coastal areas, including Fort Myers and Naples. It is 77% White, 7% Black and 15% Hispanic. Businessman Curt Clawson (b.1959) won a special election in June 2014 and took 65% in November. Due to his father’s declining health, he is not seeking re-election. The GOP nominated investor and former Ambassador to the Vatican, Francis Rooney. The Dems are running businessman Robert Neeld.

News about this office.

Alcee Hastings. (Pic: Congress)

Alcee Hastings. (Pic: Congress)

District 20
Representative: Alcee Hastings (D)
Committees: Rules.

Democratic nominee: Alcee Has­tings
Republican nomineeGary Stein

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+31) covers inner, southeastern areas. It is 25% White, 51% Black and 22% Hispanic. Former judge Alcee Hastings (b.1936) was impeached by the Senate in 1989, was first elected to Congress in 1992 and took 82% in 2014. The GOP is running retiree Gary Stein.

News about this office.

Ted Deutch. (Pic: Congress)

Ted Deutch. (Pic: Congress)

District 21
Representative: Ted Deutch (D)
Committees: Ethics, Foreign Affairs, Judiciary.

Democratic nominee: Lois Frankel
Republican nomineePaul Spain

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+9) follows the eastern coastline south from West Palm Beach . It is 67% White, 13% Black and 18% Hispanic. Lawyer and State Senator Ted Deutch (b.1966) first won a special election in 2010 and had no opponents in 2014.  He and Lois Frankel in District 21 are switching seats in 2016, due to the redraw. The GOP is running financial planner Paul Spain.

News about this office.

Lois Frankel. (Pic: Congress)

Lois Frankel. (Pic: Congress)

District 22
Representative: Lois Frankel (D)
Committees
: Foreign Affairs, Transportation.

Democratic nominee: Ted Deutch
Republican nomineeAndrea Leigh McGee

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+5) contains Ft. Lauderdale and suburbs. It is 68% White, 12% Black and 17% Hispanic. Lawyer Lois Frankel (b.1948) was Mayor of West Palm Beach when she was first elected in 2012 and took 58% in 2014. She and Ted Deutch in district 22 will switch seats in 2016, due to the redraw. The GOP nominated artist Andrea Leigh McGee.

News about this office.

Debbie Wassermann-Schultz. (Pic: Congress)

Debbie Wassermann-Schultz. (Pic: Congress)

District 23
Representative: Debbie Wassermann-Schultz (D)
Committees: Appropriations.

Democratic nominee: Debbie Was­serman Schultz
Republican nomineeJoe Kaufman

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+10) contains the rest of the southwest coastal areas down to Miami. It is 51% White, 13% Black and 32% Hispanic. State Legislator and former DNC Chair Debbie Wassermann-Schultz (b.1966) was first elected in 2004 and took 63% in 2014. The GOP is running activist Joe Kaufman.

News about this office.

Frederica Wilson. (Pic: Congress)

Frederica Wilson. (Pic: Congress)

District 24
Representative: Frederica Wilson (D)
Committees: Education.

Democratic nominee: Fre­de­rica Wilson
Republican nominee: NONE

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+34) largely contains Miami. It is 14% White, 50% Black and 37% Hispanic. Teacher and State Senator Frederica Wilson (b.1942) was first elected in 2010 and took 86% in 2014.

News about this office.

Mario Diaz-Balart. (Pic: Congress)

Mario Diaz-Balart. (Pic: Congress)

District 25
Representative: Mario Diaz-Balart (R)
Committees: Appropriations, Budget.

Democratic nomineeAlina Valdes
Republican nominee: Mario Diaz-Balart

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (R+7) covers a large area in the southwest of the state. It is 20% White, 4% Black and 75% Hispanic. State Legislator Mario Diaz-Balart (b.1961) was first elected in 2003 and had no opponents 2014. The Dems are running physician Alina Valdes.

News about this office.

Carlos Curbelo. (Pic: Congress)

Carlos Curbelo. (Pic: Congress)

District 26
Representative: Carlos Curbelo (R)
Committees: Education, Small Business, Transportation.

Democratic nomineeJoe Garcia
Republican nomineeCarlos Curbelo

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans Dem in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+4) covers areas south and west of Miami, including Everglades National Park and Key West. It is 19% White, 12% Black and 68% Hispanic. Businessman and School Board member Carlos Curbelo (b.1980) defeated then Congressman Joe Garcia in 2014 with 51%, and Garcia is gunning for revenge. The district was drawn slightly more Democratic and Curbelo will have a hard time winning re-election.

News about this office.

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen. (Pic: Congress)

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen. (Pic: Congress)

District 27
Representative: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)
Committees: Foreign Affairs, Intelligence.

Democratic nomineeScott Fuhrman
Republican nominee: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen

Rating May 23, 2016:
Safe GOP in 2016.

Status, Aug 31, 2016:
The district (D+1) covers central and southern areas of Miami and suburbs. It is 24% White, 6% Black and 69% Hispanic. Teacher and State Senator Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (b.1952) first won a special election in 1989. She had no opponents in 2014. The Dems are running businessman Scott Fuhrman.

News about this office.

STATE LEVEL

Rick Scott. (Pic: State of FL)

Rick Scott. (Pic: State of FL)

Governor: Rick Scott (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: ?

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans GOP in 2018.

Status, May 23, 2016:
Businessman Rick Scott (b.1952) won narrowly, both in 2010 and 2014. He is term limited, but is rumored to be pondering a Senate run in 2018.

News about this office.

Carlos Lopez-Cantera. (Pic: State of FL)

Carlos Lopez-Cantera. (Pic: State of FL)

Lieutenant Governor: Carlos Lopez-Cantera (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: ?

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans GOP in 2018.

Status, May 23, 2016:
The LG is chosen by the gubernatorial nominee and elected on the same ticket. Scott appointed businessman Carlos Lopez-Cantera in January 2014. He is running for Senate in 2016.

News about this office.

Jeff Atwater. (Pic: State of FL)

Jeff Atwater. (Pic: State of FL)

Chief Financial Officer: Jeff Atwater (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: Jeff Atwater

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans GOP in 2018.

Status, May 23, 2016:
Businessman and State Senator Jeff Atwater (b.1958) was first elected in 2010 and took 59% in 2014. He is term limited but is said to be considering a run for Governor in 2018.

News about this office.

Pam Bondi. (Pic: State of FL)

Pam Bondi. (Pic: State of FL)

Attorney General­: Pam Bondi (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: ?

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans GOP in 2018.

Status, May 23, 2016:
Lawyer and Mayor Pam Bondi (b.1965) was first elected in 2010 and took 55% in 2014. She is term limited but is said to be considering a run for Governor in 2018.

News about this office.

Adam Putnam. (Pic: State of FL)

Adam Putnam. (Pic: State of FL)

Agriculture Commissioner: Adam Putnam (R)

Democratic nominee: ?
Republican nominee: ?

Rating May 23, 2016:
Leans GOP in 2018.

Status, May 23, 2016:
State Representative and Congressman Adam Putnam (b.1974) was first elected in 2010 and took 59% in 2014. He is term limited but is said to be considering a run for Governor in 2018.

News about this office.

State Senate: 40 (14D / 26R). Term: 4 year. Half elected in 2016/2018.
State House: 120 (37D / 82R / 1V). Term: 2 years. Elections in 2016.

Advertisements

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.